Anticipate shocks. Simulate their impact. Prepare the response.

Endogeni simulates the impact of shocks — energy, financial, technological, geopolitical — on public finances, employment and the economy, and turns it into a basis for decision. Econometrics, satellite imagery and artificial intelligence.

  • Economics Macroeconomics, labour market, public finances
  • Data Public, private, satellite
  • Artificial intelligence In the service of analysis
  • Intelligence Geospatial, military, economic

Some shocks can be detected in advance. Every one has an impact that can be simulated.

Three steps, one principle: the decision becomes a variable of the model.

01

Observe

Measure what is happening, as it happens: satellite imagery, open and unstructured data, official statistics.

02

Simulate

Propagate the shock through the system, scenario by scenario: macroeconomic models, econometrics, causal identification.

03

Decide

Decision rules, quantified trade-offs, dashboards: policy reacts inside the model, not after the fact.

From raw data to decision, a complete chain.

Research models, industrialised into tools our clients actually use.

  • Official statistics and public accounts
  • Administrative and survey data
  • Markets and high-frequency data
  • Satellite imagery
  • Texts, reports, open sources

Endogeni Engine

Research · Data · AI

Causal econometrics

Instrumental variables, difference-in-differences, regression discontinuity

Structural macro models

General equilibrium, heterogeneous agents, structural VARs

Microsimulation

Redistributive effects, households, taxation, benefits

Machine learning

Nowcasting, short-term forecasting, anomaly detection

Computer vision

Object detection and tracking on satellite imagery

Language models

Document analysis, monitoring, information extraction

  • Quantified scenarios and decision briefs
  • Bespoke simulators and applications
  • Indicators and dashboards
  • Intelligence briefs
  • Training and skills transfer

Six domains. AI in every one.

01 + AI

Public finances

Budget trajectories, debt, sustainability, revenue and spending outlooks.

02 + AI

Labour market

Employment, wages, household purchasing power, evaluation of employment policy.

03 + AI

Macroeconomics & research

Economic conditions, inflation, scenarios, bespoke economic studies — including the impact of AI.

04 + AI

Intelligence & strategic insight

Geospatial, military and economic intelligence: satellite imagery analysed by AI in the service of states.

05 + AI

Data & indicators

Indices, data pipelines, nowcasting, steering dashboards.

06 + AI

Public policy evaluation

Impact measurement, counterfactuals, quasi-experimental methods.

Three ways to work together

01

Consulting

Support for public and private decision-makers: strategy, budget trade-offs, shock scenarios, decision support.

02

Research

Economic and econometric studies, evaluations, satellite imagery analysis, bespoke tools and simulators.

03

Training

Applied econometrics, indicators and dashboards, AI for decision-makers — for teams that want to do it themselves.

Data has no value in itself. It gains value when it informs a decision.

A shock to anticipate, a policy to evaluate, a team to train?